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GitHub · by Ishida Lab

ProbabilityBench

Tests Jev and other decision models against exact probabilities.

GitHub card for ProbabilityBench

Ishida Lab’s benchmark builds simulated worlds where the true probability of each outcome is known, so a model’s reported probability can be checked against it directly. There are three worlds: peer review, covert transfer and credit risk. Each case has a readable memo, a sampled outcome and the exact probability. The fixed test set is on Hugging Face.

ishida-lab/ProbabilityBench on GitHub

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Language
Python
Last push
Oct 15, 2026

Repository created Oct 14, 2026. Counts read from the GitHub API on Oct 15, 2026, and they move daily — quote them with the date.

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